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ÉCONOMISTE (Économie Mathématique et Économétrie Financière-Monétaire)

samedi 23 août 2014

External Debt Origin, Capital Flight and Poverty Reduction in the Franc Zone: Does the Economic Consequences of Sino-African Relationship matter?


I am involve in a research on: External Debt Origin, Capital Flight and Poverty Reduction in the Franc Zone: Does the Economic Consequences of Sino-African Relationship matter?
The main question is the following: Is China-Africa economic relation instrumental for capital flight and poverty reduction in FZ? Does it matter in improvement of external debt impact on GDP per capita and capital flight reduction in particular? 
The paper are trying to extends and assesses the Asongu and Aminkeng (2013) conclusions about Sino-African economic relation in the FZ context. 
Thus, practically, the intuition is to uses a TSLS-IV econometric estimation technique on 14 African countries specific data over the period 1983-2013 to empirically assess if African external debt exclusively from China can be instrumental in the way toward capital flight and poverty reduction in FZ. The construction of a theoretical framework highlighting stylized fact and the review of a recent literature on this issue has been firstly undertaken. 
The first main result allowed the following interpretations: (a) an important part of the traditional external debt contracted with constraint is going back out of the continent as capital flight and; (b) The capital flight contributes to improve the level of poverty in Africa. 
Overall, we can conclude that the contribution to economic development depends on the quality of loans received. We can therefore for further analyses, check which type of external debt is more suitatble for African countries specificities for development. 
The originality of the work is ecident since it is trying to test the Asongu and Aminkeng (2013) assumption in the continent where concerns of low economic development, higher poverty and capital flight are most acute.